Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 27.283165 31.489295 36.039929 41.318024 47.259774 53.729949 61.296651
2025-01-05 21.154811 27.231329 34.431733 43.536286 54.679165 67.806273 84.369048
2025-01-12 16.168190 22.761412 31.171025 42.556713 57.423120 76.013524 100.832967
2025-01-19 12.473978 18.998461 27.870090 40.602376 58.153521 81.207388 113.431306
2025-01-26 11.196824 18.181382 28.180892 43.211488 64.828500 94.321248 137.014036
2025-02-02 10.534748 18.085030 29.384981 47.051996 73.382731 110.458171 165.697977
2025-02-09 9.243829 16.789624 28.598167 47.796726 77.430689 120.459437 186.380500
2025-02-16 8.016485 15.382823 27.418393 47.731117 80.141280 128.575589 204.724939
2025-02-23 6.919541 14.010796 26.091657 47.225147 82.023322 135.455567 221.521747
2025-03-02 6.037760 12.873617 24.993347 46.924955 84.116572 142.678805 239.136783
2025-03-09 5.284438 11.850971 23.952414 46.574597 86.027714 149.644725 256.646219
2025-03-16 4.345090 10.308148 21.777270 43.993443 83.933383 150.002251 263.642875
2025-03-23 3.983766 9.924355 21.778991 45.449478 89.111766 162.905022 292.225796
2025-03-30 3.736594 9.755005 22.193213 47.749878 96.038620 179.295487 327.743742
2025-04-06 3.181737 8.797561 20.909039 46.667304 96.755576 185.184066 346.101349
2025-04-13 2.624159 7.716371 19.206654 44.544674 95.310833 187.154098 357.819775
2025-04-20 2.532476 7.760453 19.917235 47.372284 103.465875 206.572090 400.776560
2025-04-27 2.538218 8.055309 21.214053 51.532214 114.492887 231.756767 455.111616
2025-05-04 2.310360 7.686441 20.951726 52.338482 118.936231 245.141791 489.074538
2025-05-11 2.055513 7.190231 20.321724 52.267448 121.583211 255.310770 517.703701
2025-05-18 1.806587 6.656042 19.522059 51.719655 123.177377 263.537527 543.123575
2025-05-25 1.599799 6.201726 18.854851 51.394622 125.189561 272.641716 570.576550
2025-06-01 1.415658 5.775644 18.197668 51.015246 127.035811 281.493236 597.942989